HIV

SDG target: End the epidemics of AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases.

See data sources and methodology used in our 2020 report

Current evidence shows that people living with HIV are at increased risk of death due to COVID-19. But the indirect effects of the pandemic are also worrying.

Disruptions to health services could mean people don’t get antiretroviral therapy (ART), which would result in more deaths and more infections (because viral loads are higher in untreated patients, they are more likely to transmit to others). So far, this worst-case scenario has not happened, although some countries are struggling to maintain services. One innovation that seems to be helping is multi-month dispensing—a simple approach that helps people fit treatment into their lives and keeps them out of overburdened clinics. Even after COVID is under control, this will be a more effective, efficient way to dispense ART.

This graph doesn’t show it, but HIV prevention is suffering, according to other sources. We are working to limit these COVID-related disruptions and continue the long-term trend of more people accessing both prevention and treatment services.

Legend:
Global average
2030 target
Global progress and projections for HIV
New cases of HIV per 1,000 people
PER 1,000 POPULATION 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 2019 0.26 0.02 2030 TARGET0.18 BETTER SCENARIO0.28 REFERENCE SCENARIO0.54 WORSE SCENARIO
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HISTORICAL PROGRESS FOR HIV
SDG target: End the epidemics of AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases.
New cases of HIV per 1,000 people
Global average
2030 target
1990200020102019 0.000.100.200.300.400.500.60 0.020.26 2030 targetGlobal
Source: Gates Foundation, 2020 Goalkeepers Report. Data from IHME. http://gates.ly/GK20HIV
For more information on data sources, methods, and limitations for this year's report: http://gates.ly/GK20Sources
GLOBAL PROGRESS AND PROJECTIONS FOR HIV
SDG target: End the epidemics of AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases.
New cases of HIV per 1,000 people
2030 target
Global average
Better scenario
Reference scenario
Worse scenario
19902000201020202030 0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.70 0.26 0.020.180.280.54
Source: Gates Foundation, 2020 Goalkeepers Report. Data from IHME. http://gates.ly/GK20HIV
For more information on data sources, methods, and limitations for this year's report: http://gates.ly/GK20Sources
INTERACT WITH THE DATA
Below you can view comparisons of the historical progress for this indicator across any region or country in the world. Roll over the chart to see data from any year, and add up to three other locations to see how they compare to the global progress. Download any chart you create.
Choose locations to compare:
Global
Legend:
Global average
2030 target
Historical progress for HIV
New cases of HIV per 1,000 people
19902000201020190.000.100.200.300.400.500.60PER 1,000 POPULATION0.022030 TARGET2030 TARGET0.26GLOBALGLOBAL
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Use the table below to see historical progress for all countries and regions. Add one to the chart above to make direct comparisons using the to the right.

The ABSOLUTE view allows you to see the actual values over time. The RELATIVE view shows average change year over year for a five-year average.
Choose a chart view:
Absolute
Relative
TARGET 0.02 per 1,000 population
Central Europe, Eastern Europe, and Central Asia
0.39
per 1,000 population
1990
2019
High-income
0.11
per 1,000 population
1990
2019
Latin America and Caribbean
0.23
per 1,000 population
1990
2019
North Africa and Middle East
0.04
per 1,000 population
1990
2019
South Asia
0.05
per 1,000 population
1990
2019
South-East Asia, East Asia, and Oceania
0.08
per 1,000 population
1990
2019
Sub-Saharan Africa
1.20
per 1,000 population
1990
2019

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